Oscars 2025: Latest Betting Odds and Predictions

With the Oscars fast approaching, anticipation is reaching new heights as film enthusiasts and industry insiders speculate on which movies and performances will take home the most coveted awards in Hollywood. Betting odds provide valuable insights into the frontrunners and possible upsets, offering a glimpse into how the race is shaping up.

Let’s look into the latest predictions and see who has the best shot at winning in key categories.

Best Picture: Can The Brutalist Hold On?

The Best Picture race at the 2025 Oscars is shaping up to be a fierce battle, with The Brutalist currently leading the odds. The film, praised for its bold storytelling and stunning cinematography, sits at -140, giving it a 58.3% implied probability of winning. However, the competition remains strong, with Emilia Perez emerging as a serious contender at +340 (22.7% probability) following a strong showing at the BAFTAs.

Latest Best Picture Odds

Film	Odds	Implied Probability
The Brutalist	-140	58.3%
Emilia Perez	+340	22.7%
Anora	+470	17.5%
Conclave	+500	16.7%
Wicked	+1600	5.9%
A Complete Unknown	+1900	5.0%
Nickel Boys	+2300	4.2%
Dune: Part Two	+2300	4.2%
The Substance	+3100	3.1%
I’m Still Here	+5000	2.0%

*All the odds in the article are by FanDuel Ontario

External Factors Impacting Best Picture Odds

The Best Picture odds have been shaped by major precursor awards, which often hint at how the Academy might vote. The Brutalist cemented its position as the frontrunner after winning Best Film at the Golden Globes, a significant predictor of Oscar success. However, Emilia Perez is not far behind, gaining momentum after a strong performance at the BAFTAs, where it resonated with critics and industry insiders alike.

Meanwhile, Anora and Conclave remain viable contenders due to their critical acclaim and strong support from key industry groups, particularly the Producers Guild of America (PGA). The PGA Awards have historically been one of the most reliable indicators of the Best Picture winner, making these films ones to watch as the race tightens.

Best Director: Brady Corbet Maintains Lead

The Best Director category at the 2025 Oscars has a clear frontrunner, with Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) dominating the odds at -430, giving him an 81.1% implied probability of taking home the award. His masterful direction and artistic vision have been widely praised, and his victories at key precursor awards, including the Directors Guild of America (DGA) Award, have solidified his standing as the top contender.

Latest Best Director Odds

Director	Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Brady Corbet	The Brutalist	-430	81.1%
Jacques Audiard	Emilia Perez	+650	13.3%
Sean Baker	Anora	+650	13.3%
Coralie Fargeat	The Substance	+1800	5.3%
James Mangold	A Complete Unknown	+3400	2.9%

Who Can Challenge Corbet?

While Corbet remains the favorite, Jacques Audiard (Emilia Perez) and Sean Baker (Anora) have been gaining traction, both sitting at +650 (13.3% probability). Audiard’s reputation for crafting compelling character-driven narratives and Baker’s unique indie-style direction have impressed critics and voters alike.

Baker, in particular, has seen his stock rise following strong Golden Globe and BAFTA nominations. If he secures a major win at the British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA) or the Critics Choice Awards, his odds could continue to improve, making him a potential spoiler in the race.

Meanwhile, Coralie Fargeat (The Substance) and James Mangold (A Complete Unknown) remain long shots, but a surprise upset is never out of the question—especially if Academy voters decide to reward bold, unconventional filmmaking.

Best Actor: Adrien Brody vs. Timothée Chalamet – A Tight Race

The Best Actor category is shaping up to be one of the most competitive races of the 2025 Oscars. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) holds the top spot with -180 odds, translating to a 64.3% implied probability of winning. His deeply immersive performance has captivated audiences and critics, making him the early favorite.

However, Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) has emerged as a formidable challenger. His portrayal of Bob Dylan has drawn widespread acclaim, and his Golden Globe win significantly boosted his odds to +125 (44.4% probability). With momentum on his side, a BAFTA or SAG Award victory could tilt the race in his favor.

Latest Best Actor Odds

Actor	Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Adrien Brody	The Brutalist	-180	64.3%
Timothée Chalamet	A Complete Unknown	+125	44.4%
Ralph Fiennes	Conclave	+850	10.5%
Sebastian Stan	The Apprentice	+2300	4.2%
Colman Domingo	Sing Sing	+2300	4.2%

Can Chalamet Pull Off an Upset?

While Brody remains the favorite, Chalamet’s momentum is undeniable. If he secures a BAFTA win, his odds could shift even further, making this race a true toss-up heading into Oscars night.

Meanwhile, Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) sits at +850 (10.5% probability), steadily gaining buzz for his powerful performance. Though an underdog, his veteran status and critical acclaim could make him a sleeper pick.

Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) and Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) remain long shots at +2300, but their performances have earned strong reviews. A surprise industry push or late-season momentum could make them wildcard contenders.

This category remains one of the closest races of the year, and Chalamet vs. Brody could go down to the wire.

Best Actress: Demi Moore’s Award to Lose?

The Best Actress category appears to have a clear frontrunner, with Demi Moore (The Substance) leading the race at -190, giving her a 65.5% implied probability of winning. Her performance in the psychological thriller has been described as career-defining, marking a triumphant return for the veteran actress.

However, Mikey Madison (Anora) is gaining traction at +300 (25.0% probability). Her nuanced and emotionally charged performance has resonated with critics, making her the strongest challenger to Moore’s dominance.

Latest Best Actress Odds

Actress	Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Demi Moore	The Substance	-190	65.5%
Mikey Madison	Anora	+300	25.0%
Fernanda Torres	I’m Still Here	+700	12.5%
Karla Sofia Gascon	Emilia Perez	+1200	7.7%
Cynthia Erivo	Wicked	+2100	4.5%

Can Madison or Torres Pull Off an Upset?

While Demi Moore remains the favorite, her closest competitor, Mikey Madison, has impressed audiences and critics alike. A BAFTA or SAG Award win could significantly improve her chances, making her a legitimate threat heading into Oscar night.

Meanwhile, Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here) sits at +700 (12.5% probability) and remains an outside contender. Her performance has been widely praised, and if international voters rally behind her, she could shake up the race.

Both Karla Sofia Gascon (Emilia Perez) and Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) are long shots, but a surprise industry push or last-minute campaign surge could make things interesting.

For now, Moore is in control, but as awards season unfolds, this category could become more competitive.

Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin’s Race to Lose?

The Best Supporting Actor category seems to have a runaway favorite, with Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) dominating the race at -700, translating to an 87.5% implied probability of winning. His performance has been widely celebrated, and after securing Golden Globe and Critics Choice Awards victories, he appears to be the clear frontrunner.

Latest Best Supporting Actor Odds

Actor	Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Kieran Culkin	A Real Pain	-700	87.5%
Yura Borisov	Anora	+900	10.0%
Edward Norton	A Complete Unknown	+1000	9.1%
Guy Pearce	The Brutalist	+1100	8.3%
Jeremy Strong	The Apprentice	+1600	5.9%

Can Anyone Challenge Culkin?

Although Culkin seems unstoppable, a SAG Award loss could open the door for an upset. Yura Borisov (Anora) and Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) have both gained traction, sitting at +900 and +1000 odds, respectively. If either actor manages to win a key precursor award, the final stretch of the Oscars race could become more competitive.

Meanwhile, Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) and Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) remain underdogs. While they have received critical praise, their path to victory seems slim unless a major shift occurs in industry sentiment.

For now, Culkin holds a commanding lead, but as always, surprises can happen during awards season.

Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldana in Command, But Can Ariana Grande Surprise?

The Best Supporting Actress race is currently led by Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez), who holds -470 odds, giving her an 82.5% implied probability of winning. Her performance has been widely praised for its emotional depth and intensity, making her the clear favorite throughout the awards season.

However, Ariana Grande (Wicked) has been gaining momentum, now sitting at +430 (18.9% probability). With a Golden Globe nomination and strong audience reception for her role, she has positioned herself as the only serious challenger to Saldana.

Latest Best Supporting Actress Odds

Actress	Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Zoe Saldana	Emilia Perez	-470	82.5%
Ariana Grande	Wicked	+430	18.9%
Felicity Jones	The Brutalist	+1100	8.3%
Monica Barbaro	A Complete Unknown	+1900	5.0%
Isabella Rossellini	Conclave	+2000	4.8%

Can Grande Pull Off an Upset?

While Saldana remains the overwhelming favorite, Ariana Grande’s recent momentum suggests the race might not be entirely over. If Grande secures a SAG Award win, her odds could improve dramatically, making her a legitimate threat to Saldana’s dominance.

Meanwhile, Felicity Jones (The Brutalist), Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown), and Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) remain distant long shots. While each has received critical praise, their chances of securing an Oscar win remain slim without a major awards-season shakeup.

For now, Saldana is in firm control, but Grande’s rising trajectory makes this a category worth watching closely.

Best International Feature: Emilia Perez Looks Unstoppable

The Best International Feature category appears to have a dominant frontrunner, with Emilia Perez sitting at -850 odds, giving it an 89.5% implied probability of winning. The film’s unique narrative, strong festival presence, and critical acclaim have positioned it as the overwhelming favorite among Academy voters.

Latest Best International Feature Odds

Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Emilia Perez	-850	89.5%
I’m Still Here	+650	13.3%
Flow	+750	11.8%
The Seed of the Sacred Fig	+850	10.5%
The Girl with the Needle	+1900	5.0%

Can Any Film Challenge Emilia Perez?

While Emilia Perez remains the clear favorite, I’m Still Here (+650) and Flow (+750) stand as potential dark horses. If either film secures surprise victories at the BAFTAs or other precursor awards, the race could tighten.

Meanwhile, The Seed of the Sacred Fig (+850) and The Girl with the Needle (+1900) remain outside contenders. A late-season push from critics or international voters could boost their chances, but they remain long shots for now.

As of now, Emilia Perez is in a commanding lead, but surprise wins in upcoming awards could shake things up.

Best Animated Feature: A Tight Battle Between Front-Runners

The Best Animated Feature category is shaping up to be a close race, with The Wild Robot currently leading at -170 odds, giving it a 63.0% implied probability of winning. The film has received strong industry support and has been a favorite among critics and audiences alike.

However, Flow is not far behind, sitting at +115 odds (46.5% probability). The film has been praised for its unique animation style and deeply emotional storytelling, making it a serious contender for the Oscar.

Latest Best Animated Feature Odds

Animated Feature	Odds	Implied Probability
The Wild Robot	-170	63.0%
Flow	+115	46.5%
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl	+1900	5.0%
Inside Out 2	+2300	4.2%
Memoir of a Snail	+2300	4.2%

Could There Be a Surprise Winner?

While The Wild Robot remains the favorite, Flow has been closing in, and a key precursor award win—such as at the Annie Awards or BAFTAs—could tip the scales in its favor.

Meanwhile, Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl (+1900), Inside Out 2 (+2300), and Memoir of a Snail(+2300) remain distant contenders. Though unlikely to win, this category has seen surprise upsets in the past, making it one to watch closely.

For now, The Wild Robot holds the edge, but Flow is keeping the race competitive.

Best Documentary Feature: No Other Land in the Lead

The Best Documentary Feature category has a clear frontrunner, with No Other Land leading at -400 odds, giving it an 80.0% implied probability of winning. The film’s powerful storytelling and critical acclaim have made it the standout contender this awards season.

Latest Best Documentary Feature Odds

Documentary	Odds	Implied Probability
No Other Land	-400	80.0%
Sugarcane	+600	14.3%
Porcelain War	+1200	7.7%
Soundtrack to a Coup d’État	+1200	7.7%
Black Box Diaries	+1900	5.0%

Can Sugarcane or Another Contender Pull Off an Upset?

While No Other Land remains the favorite, Sugarcane (+600, 14.3% probability) is a strong alternative, boasting a compelling narrative that has resonated with audiences. If it picks up a major precursor award, it could tighten the race.

Meanwhile, Porcelain War and Soundtrack to a Coup d’État, both sitting at +1200, have been critically praised but remain long shots for the win.

Black Box Diaries, at +1900, is the category’s biggest underdog. While an upset is unlikely, a late-season surge in industry recognition could make things more interesting.

For now, No Other Land holds the lead, but anything can happen as final votes come in.

Best Cinematography: A Visual Showdown

The Best Cinematography category is led by The Brutalist, which holds -220 odds, translating to a 68.8% implied probability of winning. The film’s stunning visual compositions and bold cinematographic choices have set it apart from the competition, making it the favorite in this category.

However, Dune: Part Two is a strong challenger at +240 (29.4% probability). The first Dune film won this category in 2022, and its exceptional world-building and immersive visuals could give it a shot at pulling off an upset.

Latest Best Cinematography Odds

Film	Odds	Implied Probability
The Brutalist	-220	68.8%
Dune: Part Two	+240	29.4%
Nosferatu	+650	13.3%
Emilia Perez	+1900	5.0%
Maria	+2600	3.7%

Could Dune: Part Two or Nosferatu Pull Off an Upset?

While The Brutalist remains the favorite, Dune: Part Two has an Oscar-winning legacy in this category, making it a serious threat if it gains late momentum.

Meanwhile, Nosferatu (+650 odds) stands out as a dark horse. The film’s gothic, atmospheric cinematography has drawn strong critical praise, and if voters lean toward a more stylized, artistic approach, it could surprise.

For now, The Brutalist leads, but with Dune: Part Two and Nosferatu lurking, this remains an exciting category to watch.

Best Film Editing: A Battle of Precision

The Best Film Editing category is currently led by Anora, which holds -180 odds, giving it a 64.3% implied probability of winning. The film’s dynamic pacing and seamless transitions have impressed both critics and audiences, making it the frontrunner.

However, The Brutalist is a strong contender at +220 (31.3% probability), with its meticulous editing styleenhancing its immersive storytelling. If it gains late-season momentum, it could pose a real challenge.

Latest Best Film Editing Odds

Film	Odds	Implied Probability
Anora	-180	64.3%
The Brutalist	+220	31.3%
The Substance	+650	13.3%
Conclave	+1200	7.7%
Dune: Part Two	+1800	5.3%

Could The Brutalist or Another Contender Pull Off an Upset?

While Anora remains in the lead, The Brutalist has a realistic shot at overtaking it if industry sentiment shifts in its favor.

Meanwhile, The Substance (+650 odds) and Conclave (+1200 odds) remain long-shot contenders but could become more competitive if they receive a key precursor award.

Dune: Part Two (+1800 odds) is a distant outsider, but given the franchise’s success in technical categories, it could still surprise if voters reward its ambitious editing work.

For now, Anora holds the edge, but this remains a two-film race with The Brutalist right behind it.

Best Original Score: A Musical Showdown

The Best Original Score category is led by The Brutalist, which holds -220 odds, giving it a 68.8% implied probability of winning. The film’s emotive and powerful score has resonated strongly with voters, making it the frontrunner.

However, Conclave (+470 odds) has been steadily gaining attention and could be a surprise winner if industry sentiment shifts. Meanwhile, The Wild Robot remains a dark horse, with a chance to surge if it secures key precursor wins.

Best Visual Effects: Can Dune: Part Two Dominate Again?

With -430 odds, Dune: Part Two is the overwhelming favorite, following in the footsteps of its predecessor, which swept the Visual Effects category in 2022. The film’s groundbreaking CGI and practical effects have made it the clear leader.

Other contenders, including Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes and Wicked, sit at long-shot odds but remain viable challengers if Dune: Part Two somehow falters.

Best Production Design: Wicked Takes the Lead

Musicals have traditionally excelled in the Production Design category, and Wicked is currently leading with -170 odds. The film’s vibrant and imaginative world-building gives it a strong edge over competitors.

However, The Brutalist (+380 odds) and Conclave (+500 odds) offer strong artistic alternatives, particularly if voters lean toward more stylized or period-piece aesthetics.

Best Visual Effects: Dune: Part Two a Heavy Favorite

With its stunning visuals, Dune: Part Two remains the clear frontrunner at -430 odds, making it one of the safest bets of the night. The film’s advanced CGI and seamless integration of practical effects set it apart, making it the most likely winner in this category.

Best Animated Feature: The Wild Robot vs. Flow

While The Wild Robot leads at -170 odds, Flow (+115) is keeping the race competitive. Flow has earned critical praise for its innovative animation and deeply emotional storytelling, making it a legitimate challenger.

With both films receiving strong festival buzz, this category could be one of the closest contests of the night.

Best International Feature: Emilia Perez a Clear Standout

With -850 odds, Emilia Perez is one of the safest bets of the night. The film has been widely praised for its compelling narrative and strong performances, making it the clear favorite in the International Feature Film category.

Best Original Score: The Brutalist or Conclave?

The Best Original Score race remains a tight battle between The Brutalist (-220 odds) and Conclave (+470 odds). While The Brutalist has been the favorite throughout awards season, Conclave‘s sweeping orchestral compositions have won over a growing number of critics and Academy voters.

If Conclave secures a BAFTA or Critics Choice Award win, it could shake up the race in the final weeks before the Oscars.

How to Bet on the Oscars

Betting on the Academy Awards has become an exciting way for film enthusiasts and bettors alike to engage with the biggest night in Hollywood. With sportsbooks offering odds on major categories, placing a wager on your favorite films and performances can add extra excitement to the event. However, it’s important to understand how the betting process works and where it is legally available.

Steps to Place an Oscars Bet

1. Choose a Legal Sportsbook – Not all sportsbooks offer Oscars betting, so it’s essential to find a platform that does.
2. Create an Account – Sign up with a sportsbook by providing personal details and verifying your identity.
3. Deposit Funds – Add money to your betting account using a credit card, debit card, PayPal, or other accepted payment methods.
4. Navigate to the Entertainment Betting Section – Oscars betting markets are typically found under the “Entertainment” or “Special Events” categories.
5. Select Your Bets – Choose the categories and nominees you wish to wager on, then enter your stake amount.
6. Confirm and Place Your Bet – Review your selections carefully and finalize your bet.

Where is Oscars Betting Legal?

Oscars betting is not legal in all U.S. states, but it is currently available in select states, including:

• New Jersey
• Indiana
• Michigan
• Colorado

However, betting regulations vary by location, so it’s crucial to check with your local laws and sportsbook availabilitybefore placing a wager.

Best Sportsbooks for Oscars Betting

Several top sportsbooks offer Academy Awards betting markets, including:

• DraftKings – One of the most popular platforms, offering a wide range of Oscars categories and competitive odds.
• FanDuel – Known for exclusive Oscars betting promotions and strong entertainment betting markets.
• BetMGM – A trusted sportsbook with extensive entertainment and special event markets.
• Caesars Sportsbook – Provides enhanced odds and special promotions for Oscars betting.

As Oscars night approaches, sportsbooks may adjust odds based on industry trends, so keeping an eye on movements can help you make the most informed betting decisions.