Kalshi Wins Legal Battle Against CFTC, Cleared to Offer Election Betting Contracts

03.10.2024

In a landmark decision, the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit has ruled in favor of Kalshi, a New York-based regulated exchange and prediction market, in its legal dispute with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The ruling effectively allows Kalshi to offer event trading contracts for the upcoming 2024 U.S. Presidential Elections, a significant development in the industry.

Clearing the Way for Election Contracts

The legal battle, which has spanned nearly a year, reached a pivotal moment when the Court sided with Kalshi, rejecting the CFTC’s argument that election event contracts could harm public opinion.

The CFTC had previously claimed that allowing such contracts would undermine the integrity of the election process and potentially result in misinformation.

However, the Court found that the Commission failed to provide sufficient evidence to support these claims.

Focus on Election Integrity

In its ruling, the Court acknowledged the importance of protecting the integrity of the Presidential Elections and emphasized the need to prevent misinformation.

However, the judgment noted that the CFTC did not present any concrete evidence to demonstrate how offering election event contracts would lead to such risks.

As stated in the Court’s ruling:

“Ensuring the integrity of elections and avoiding improper interference and misinformation are undoubtedly paramount public interests, and a substantiated risk of distorting the electoral process would amount to irreparable harm. The problem is that the CFTC has given this court no concrete basis to conclude that event contracts would likely be a vehicle for such harms.”

A Major Victory for Kalshi

Kalshi’s victory marks a significant turning point in its legal journey, especially after a previous lower court ruling in its favor was frozen when the CFTC filed an appeal.

This latest decision not only clears the way for Kalshi to offer event contracts related to the 2024 Presidential Elections, but it also sets a precedent for other companies seeking to enter the event trading market.

The ruling could pave the way for the expansion of event contracts, allowing other firms to explore similar offerings in the future.

With the Presidential Elections just a month away, Kalshi is now positioned to capitalize on this major legal win, potentially opening new doors in the U.S. prediction market industry.